# Nimb

> Nimb is a free, independent map of Polymarket prediction markets. It shows what traders expect (the price of each outcome as a chance), how it moved, how much money trades on it and which public wallets hold the largest positions. It is built for retail traders who want to read a market before they trade it. Nimb is not affiliated with Polymarket and gives no financial advice.

Data comes from Polymarket's public APIs. Prices stream live in the app; the market pages below are rebuilt every 6 hours. Last build: November 7, 2026, 13:00 UTC.

## Key pages

- [Map](https://nimb.markets/): the interactive map (JavaScript, SVG)
- [All markets](https://nimb.markets/markets): every market on the map, by category, with chances, weekly moves and volume
- [How Nimb works](https://nimb.markets/about): how markets are chosen, what the numbers mean, data sources, FAQ
- [Docs](https://nimb.markets/docs): guides to reading markets, finding alpha and placing orders. Full text: https://nimb.markets/llms-full.txt
- [Get started with Nimb](https://nimb.markets/docs/getting-started): Five steps from zero to your first Polymarket order on Nimb: create a wallet, fund it, connect it, read the market, place a small order.
- [How to create a crypto wallet for Polymarket](https://nimb.markets/docs/create-a-crypto-wallet): Set up a self-custody wallet (MetaMask, Rabby, Coinbase Wallet or WalletConnect) to trade Polymarket markets from Nimb. Step by step, with safety checks.
- [How to fund your wallet with USDC on Polygon](https://nimb.markets/docs/fund-your-wallet-usdc-polygon): How to get USDC onto Polygon and into your Polymarket trading balance (pUSD): exchanges, bridges, minimums and gas. Checked against Polymarket docs.
- [How to connect your wallet to Nimb](https://nimb.markets/docs/connect-wallet-to-nimb): What happens when you press Connect wallet on Nimb: the signatures you approve, the Polymarket wallet that is set up, and what Nimb can and cannot do.
- [Place your first order](https://nimb.markets/docs/place-your-first-order): A worked first order on Nimb: read the market, choose Yes or No, type an all-in amount, check break-even, sign. Example: $100 at 41% buys 242 shares.
- [Who can trade from Nimb: restricted countries](https://nimb.markets/docs/eligibility-restricted-countries): Where you can and cannot trade Polymarket from Nimb: restricted countries, France close-only, how the location check works, and what you can still read.
- [What are prediction markets?](https://nimb.markets/docs/what-are-prediction-markets): A prediction market prices the chance of a future event: shares pay $1 if it happens and $0 if not. How they work, who trades, and what prices mean.
- [Prediction markets as a news instrument](https://nimb.markets/docs/prediction-markets-as-a-news-instrument): Why prediction markets work as a real-time read on the news: prices update in seconds, carry money behind them, and show what changed and when.
- [Polymarket odds explained](https://nimb.markets/docs/polymarket-odds-explained): What Polymarket odds mean: a 41¢ price is a 41% chance. How to convert to decimal odds, why Yes and No add to about 100%, and what moves the price.
- [How Polymarket markets resolve](https://nimb.markets/docs/how-markets-resolve): How a Polymarket market ends: resolution rules, sources, the oracle and disputes, what happens after the deadline, and how to read the rules first.
- [Are prediction markets accurate?](https://nimb.markets/docs/are-prediction-markets-accurate): What evidence says about prediction market accuracy, calibration and known biases (long-shot bias, thin markets), and how to judge one market.
- [Polymarket vs Kalshi](https://nimb.markets/docs/polymarket-vs-kalshi): Polymarket and Kalshi compared on regulation, who can use them, collateral, fees, market types and data. Facts dated, no affiliate links.
- [How to read a prediction market](https://nimb.markets/docs/how-to-read-a-market): Market reading in six checks: chance, move, money, book, holders and rules. How to read any Polymarket market before you trade it, with Nimb.
- [Spread and order book depth](https://nimb.markets/docs/spread-and-order-book-depth): What spread and depth mean on Polymarket, how a 4-point spread or a thin book changes your fill price, and how Nimb shows liquidity.
- [Volume and open interest](https://nimb.markets/docs/volume-and-open-interest): Volume is money traded; open interest is money still at stake. How to read both, why sizes differ by timeframe, and which number Nimb uses.
- [How to read a price chart](https://nimb.markets/docs/price-charts): Read a prediction market price chart: the dashed 50% line, steps vs trends, flat lines, news jumps and what a chart cannot show.
- [Money flow](https://nimb.markets/docs/money-flow): Money flow shows Yes buying minus No buying per hour. How to read it, when flow and price disagree, and why flow is not a forecast.
- [Multi-outcome markets](https://nimb.markets/docs/multi-outcome-markets): How to read Polymarket events with many outcomes: candidate lists, price ranges and date ladders, why chances sum to about 100%, and neg-risk.
- [Before you trade: the checks](https://nimb.markets/docs/before-you-trade-checks): The Before you trade box on Nimb explained: unusual moves, thin books, concentrated holders, deadlines and break-even, with the rules behind each.
- [How to read the Nimb map](https://nimb.markets/docs/the-map): How Nimb draws Polymarket: filled circles sized by money traded, coloured by category, green and red wallet lines, dashed theme lines.
- [The market panel](https://nimb.markets/docs/market-panel): What each part of Nimb's market panel shows: the reading, price chart, money flow, Before you trade, holders, and the order ticket beside it.
- [Timeframes: 24H, 7D, 30D](https://nimb.markets/docs/timeframes): What changes when you switch Nimb between 24 hours, 7 days and 30 days: which markets appear, circle sizes, moves and the 30D-only links.
- [Categories](https://nimb.markets/docs/categories): Nimb's seven categories: Geopolitics, Politics, Finance, Crypto, AI & Tech, Sports, Climate & Culture. What goes where, colours and floors.
- [Themes and factors](https://nimb.markets/docs/themes-and-factors): Themes group related Polymarket markets with dashed lines. What a theme is, how it is built, what it can and cannot tell you about shared risk.
- [Moved together, moved opposite](https://nimb.markets/docs/moves-with-and-against): How Nimb flags markets that moved together or opposite over 30 days, the statistical thresholds used, and why most short-term links are noise.
- [Top holders and wallet lines](https://nimb.markets/docs/holders-and-wallet-lines): See the largest public Polymarket holders: green lines hold Yes, red hold No. How to read whale positions, P&L and concentration without overreading.
- [Net exposure and hedged positions](https://nimb.markets/docs/net-exposure-and-hedged-positions): Why Nimb nets out wallets that hold both Yes and No: a hedged $1 set is not a bet. Net exposure explained with a worked example.
- [Alpha in prediction markets](https://nimb.markets/docs/alpha-in-prediction-markets): Alpha on Nimb means informational edge: what you know that the price does not yet show. Where it comes from, why most of it is noise, and its costs.
- [Read and execute](https://nimb.markets/docs/read-and-execute): Nimb's read-and-execute workflow: read the market in the analysis panel, check the costs, then act in the order ticket from your own wallet.
- [The order ticket](https://nimb.markets/docs/order-ticket): How Nimb's order ticket works: side, all-in amount, shares, payout, break-even and every button state, with orders routed to Polymarket.
- [Fees and all-in pricing](https://nimb.markets/docs/fees-and-all-in-pricing): What a Polymarket trade costs through Nimb: the platform taker fee, Nimb's 0.5% builder fee, spread, and how fees are folded into the amount shown.
- [Selling and closing a position](https://nimb.markets/docs/selling-and-closing-a-position): How to sell shares before a Polymarket market resolves, what you get back, how spread and fees apply, and what happens at resolution.
- [Portfolio](https://nimb.markets/docs/portfolio): Nimb's portfolio view: your positions as circles sized by value, entry vs mark, realised and unrealised P&L, and links to close or reread each market.
- [Risks of prediction markets](https://nimb.markets/docs/risks-of-prediction-markets): The real risks of Polymarket trading: losing your stake, thin books, rule disputes, smart-contract and wallet risk, legal limits. Read before trading.
- [Data sources and freshness](https://nimb.markets/docs/data-sources-and-freshness): Where Nimb's numbers come from and how fresh they are: live prices via Polymarket's WebSocket, volumes every minute, markets every 6 hours.
- [How Nimb chooses markets](https://nimb.markets/docs/market-selection-methodology): The score and gates that choose which Polymarket markets appear on Nimb: informative volume, depth, move, deadline, with formulas and thresholds.
- [Known limitations](https://nimb.markets/docs/known-limitations): What Nimb's analytics get wrong or cannot yet do, with numbers from our own quant review: themes, correlations, holder signals, history.
- [Changelog](https://nimb.markets/docs/changelog): Dated list of changes to Nimb's map, data, methodology and docs, so you know which rules applied to the numbers you saw.
- [About Nimb](https://nimb.markets/docs/about-nimb): Nimb, from the Latin nimbus: Roman augurs read the future in the sky; Nimb reads the crowd's forecast in the shape of the money. Who we are and why.
- [Independence and how Nimb makes money](https://nimb.markets/docs/independence-and-business-model): Nimb is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. How Nimb is funded (a 0.5% builder fee on orders), what that means, and what we never do.
- [Our design](https://nimb.markets/docs/design-system): Why Nimb looks the way it does: Swiss grid, 80s–90s tech, filled circles only, size is money, green Yes, red No, dashed themes, plain voice.
- [Frequently asked questions](https://nimb.markets/docs/faq): Short answers to common questions about Nimb and Polymarket: what prices mean, wallets, fees, countries, data freshness, holders and risk.
- [Prediction market glossary](https://nimb.markets/docs/glossary): Plain one-sentence definitions of prediction market and Polymarket terms: spread, depth, open interest, neg-risk, pUSD, builder fee, alpha and more.

## Most traded markets now

- [Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028](https://nimb.markets/markets/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028): Jon Ossoff 27%, +11.7 pts in 7 days
- [Republican Presidential Nominee 2028](https://nimb.markets/markets/republican-presidential-nominee-2028): J.D. Vance 37%, −1.2 pts in 7 days
- [Presidential Election Winner 2028](https://nimb.markets/markets/presidential-election-winner-2028): JD Vance 19%, +0.2 pts in 7 days
- [Fed Decision in December?](https://nimb.markets/markets/fed-decision-in-december-20260729232808632): 25 bps increase 76%, +6.0 pts in 7 days
- [Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?](https://nimb.markets/markets/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election): Gadi Eizenkot 63%, +30.1 pts in 7 days
- [Next French Presidential Election](https://nimb.markets/markets/next-french-presidential-election): Marine Le Pen 45%, +4.2 pts in 7 days
- [UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion](https://nimb.markets/markets/uefa-champions-league-2027-champion-20260701202025549): Paris Saint-Germain 20%, +3.0 pts in 7 days
- [Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through …](https://nimb.markets/markets/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-throughptptpt-20260716224448963): November 7 98%, +19.4 pts in 7 days
- [US announces end of Iranian blockade by …](https://nimb.markets/markets/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade-byptptpt-20260713152715080): March 31 70%, +5.5 pts in 7 days
- [NBA: 2027 Champion](https://nimb.markets/markets/nba-2027-champion): Oklahoma City Thunder 16%, +2.0 pts in 7 days
- [Worlds 2026: Winner](https://nimb.markets/markets/worlds-2026-winner): Gen.G 52%, +9.0 pts in 7 days
- [What price will Bitcoin hit in November?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026): ↓ 72,500 58%, +10.0 pts in 7 days
- [Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?](https://nimb.markets/markets/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027): Yes 10%, −7.0 pts in 7 days
- [What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-2027): ↓ 70,000 50%, +2.0 pts in 7 days
- [What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-november-2-8-2026): ↓ 74,000 16%, −13.2 pts in 7 days
- [Taipei Mayor Election Winner](https://nimb.markets/markets/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100): Chiang Wan-an 68%, 0.0 pts in 7 days
- [LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs](https://nimb.markets/markets/lol-ig1-gen-2026-11-07): Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) 66%, −13.0 pts in 7 days
- [EPL: 2027 Champion](https://nimb.markets/markets/epl-2027-champion-20260701200428749): Arsenal 70%, +4.5 pts in 7 days
- [What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-wti-hit-in-november-2026): ↑ $110 18%, −50.5 pts in 7 days
- [NC-03 House Election Winner](https://nimb.markets/markets/nc-03-house-election-winner): Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 80%, +44.2 pts in 7 days
- [Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC](https://nimb.markets/markets/epl-lee-tot-2026-11-07): Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC) 38%, +9.0 pts in 7 days
- [What price will Ethereum hit in November?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-in-november-2026): ↓ 2,200 84%, +3.5 pts in 7 days
- [Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap](https://nimb.markets/markets/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes): $1.25–$1.5T 31%, +19.9 pts in 7 days
- [Pro Football: 2027 Champion](https://nimb.markets/markets/pro-football-2027-champion-20260729185915366): Chicago Bears 12%, +5.1 pts in 7 days
- [Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?](https://nimb.markets/markets/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-december-31): Yes 32%, −4.5 pts in 7 days
- [Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?](https://nimb.markets/markets/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31): Yes 10%, −2.0 pts in 7 days
- [What price will Ethereum hit November 2-8?](https://nimb.markets/markets/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-november-2-8-2026): ↓ 2,200 44%, −10.0 pts in 7 days
- [Iran leadership change by …](https://nimb.markets/markets/iran-leadership-change-by): June 30, 2027 22%, −7.5 pts in 7 days
- [Next Prime Minister of Sweden](https://nimb.markets/markets/next-prime-minister-of-sweden): Ulf Kristersson 56%, +30.9 pts in 7 days
- [Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/largest-ipo-by-market-cap-in-2026-287): SpaceX 88%, +32.0 pts in 7 days
- [Anthropic IPO by …](https://nimb.markets/markets/anthropic-ipo-by): December 31, 2026 87%, +2.0 pts in 7 days
- [US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by …](https://nimb.markets/markets/us-iran-hormuz-agreement-byptptpt-20260803235957575): December 31 36%, +0.5 pts in 7 days
- [Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-3-november-10-2026): 260-279 22%, +10.3 pts in 7 days
- [Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?](https://nimb.markets/markets/bitcoin-above-on-november-7-2026): Yes 33%, −32.1 pts in 7 days
- [Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory](https://nimb.markets/markets/texas-senate-margin-of-victory-2026): Talarico 12%+ 96%, +92.0 pts in 7 days
- [Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/elon-musk-of-tweets-november-5-november-7-2026): 90-114 81%, +29.0 pts in 7 days
- [Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?](https://nimb.markets/markets/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-november-30-20261001003401433): Yes 20%, −4.0 pts in 7 days
- [US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by …](https://nimb.markets/markets/us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-20260621201254412): December 31 10%, −5.0 pts in 7 days
- [Largest Company end of December 2026?](https://nimb.markets/markets/largest-company-end-of-december-2026): Apple 63%, +22.4 pts in 7 days
- [Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?](https://nimb.markets/markets/who-will-leave-trump-administration-before-2027): Pete Hegseth 33%, −1.0 pts in 7 days

## Citing Nimb

Say "according to Polymarket prices shown on Nimb" and give the date: prices change by the minute.