The favourite on Polymarket is No Change at 74%, followed by 25 bps increase at 26%.
No Change moved the most this week: 61% to 74% (+13.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 74% | +7.0 pts | +13.5 pts | $21k |
| 25 bps increase | 26% | −3.0 pts | −12.5 pts | $14k |
A price of 74% means traders pay $0.74 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Change · No | $23k | −$23k |
| ps5 | No Change · Yes | $13k | +$3k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 25 bps increase · No | $8k | −$8k |
| aghy | 25 bps increase · Yes | $6k | −$3k |
| anoin123 | No Change · No | $5k | −$3k |
| podairpod | No Change · Yes | $4k | +$555 |
| strider- | No Change · Yes | $3k | +$500 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No Change · Yes | $2k | +$314 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.