The 179 Polymarket markets on the map today, by category: what traders expect, how it moved this week, and how much money is behind it.
Markets are chosen every few minutes by how much money trades on outcomes that are still undecided. How the selection works.
| Market | Leading | Chance | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | 64% | +8.5 pts | $340k | |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | 76% | +16.5 pts | $242k | |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released by … | December 31 | 97% | +19.3 pts | $230k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 | 80% | +9.0 pts | $142k |
| Gemini Carbon released on … | November 10 | 42% | +14.7 pts | $122k |
| Gemini Carbon released by … | November 15 | 82% | +7.0 pts | $120k |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by … | December 31 | 98% | +4.8 pts | $98k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on … | November 12 | 35% | −7.1 pts | $68k |
| Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by … | December 31, 2028 | 31% | +0.5 pts | $36k |
| OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by … | December 31, 2027 | 56% | +1.0 pts | $31k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by … | June 30, 2027? | 87% | +10.5 pts | $18k |
| Indiana enacts data center moratorium by … | December 31, 2028 | 30% | −4.0 pts | $15k |
| Texas enacts data center moratorium by … | December 31, 2028 | 34% | +1.0 pts | $11k |
| Market | Leading | Chance | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner | 34% | +5.4 pts | $340k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 90% | −0.5 pts | $283k |
| Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by … | November 14 | 86% | −6.0 pts | $182k |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | The Odyssey | 57% | +3.0 pts | $91k |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | ↑6k | 94% | +5.5 pts | $88k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday | 74% | +20.5 pts | $74k |
| TIME Person of the Year 2026 | Zohran Mamdani | 22% | −7.0 pts | $67k |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday | 74% | +22.0 pts | $52k |
| "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office | 9m+ | 57% | +9.5 pts | $52k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 8? | 9°C or higher | 57% | +20.5 pts | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 8? | 6°C | 38% | +8.5 pts | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 8? | 84-85°F | 50% | +20.0 pts | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 8? | 4°C | 48% | +18.5 pts | $9k |