The favourite on Polymarket is Yes at 68%, followed by O/U 59.5 at 58% and O/U 61.5 at 52%.
Yes moved the most this week: 59% to 68% (+9.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68% | +1.0 pts | +9.5 pts | $25k |
| O/U 59.5 | 58% | +1.0 pts | +8.5 pts | $9k |
| O/U 61.5 | 52% | −1.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $9k |
| Spread -6.5 | 52% | 0.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $15k |
| Spread -7.5 | 46% | +0.5 pts | −4.5 pts | $8k |
A price of 68% means traders pay $0.69 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoi | Yes · Yes | $17k | −$88 |
| imjustkenisghey | Yes · No | $8k | −$4k |
| mooseborzoi | O/U 59.5 · Yes | $6k | +$71 |
| imjustkenisghey | O/U 59.5 · No | $6k | −$1k |
| FeedTheBigBird | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $5k | −$124 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Spread -6.5 · No | $5k | −$338 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -7.5 · Yes | $3k | −$56 |
| mooseborzoi | O/U 61.5 · Yes | $3k | −$66 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.