The favourite on Polymarket is J.D. Vance at 37%, followed by Ron DeSantis at 14% and John McEntee at 3%.
Ron DeSantis moved the most this week: 4% to 14% (+10.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 37% | −2.0 pts | −1.2 pts | $553k |
| Ron DeSantis | 14% | +1.0 pts | +10.4 pts | $523k |
| John McEntee | 3% | +1.8 pts | +3.0 pts | $994k |
| Brian Kemp | 2% | +0.3 pts | +1.1 pts | $396k |
| Joe Kent | 1% | −0.2 pts | +0.8 pts | $878k |
A price of 3% means traders pay $0.03 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | J.D. Vance · No | $966k | −$966k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ron DeSantis · No | $377k | −$377k |
| 98better | J.D. Vance · Yes | $310k | −$18k |
| Brokie | J.D. Vance · Yes | $121k | −$40k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | John McEntee · No | $83k | −$83k |
| hose | J.D. Vance · Yes | $55k | −$6k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Brian Kemp · No | $50k | −$50k |
| Pog | J.D. Vance · Yes | $45k | −$9k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.