The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 56%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 34% and December 31 at 9%.
June 30, 2027 moved the most this week: 60% to 56% (−3.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 56% | −0.5 pts | −3.5 pts | $4k |
| March 31, 2027 | 34% | 0.0 pts | −2.0 pts | $25k |
| December 31 | 9% | +1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $22k |
| November 30 | 4% | −0.3 pts | −1.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 34% means traders pay $0.34 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | December 31 · Yes | $26k | −$116k |
| hopedieslast | December 31 · No | $8k | +$34k |
| anotherpatrick | March 31, 2027 · No | $7k | +$6k |
| elPolloLoco | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $7k | −$309 |
| KrackenSruster | December 31 · No | $5k | +$25k |
| JoeBlack01 | December 31 · No | $4k | +$22k |
| nero2589 | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $4k | +$103 |
| nero2589 | June 30, 2027 · Yes | $3k | −$1 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.