The favourite on Polymarket is ↓ 2,000 at 50%, followed by ↓ 1,750 at 20% and ↓ 1,500 at 11%.
↓ 1,750 moved the most this week: 18% to 20% (+3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 2,000 | 50% | +5.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $75k |
| ↓ 1,750 | 20% | −2.0 pts | +3.0 pts | $41k |
| ↓ 1,500 | 11% | +0.1 pts | −1.9 pts | $60k |
| ↑ 3,500 | 6% | −1.0 pts | −2.5 pts | $46k |
| ↓ 1,000 | 4% | +0.1 pts | −0.3 pts | $40k |
A price of 50% means traders pay $0.49 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 2,000 · No | $197k | +$84k |
| Tokor | ↓ 2,000 · Yes | $113k | +$52k |
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 1,750 · No | $84k | +$237k |
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 1,500 · No | $81k | +$385k |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 2,000 · Yes | $46k | +$22k |
| 0xDCCrane | ↓ 2,000 · No | $44k | +$32k |
| LlamaLoco0000 | ↓ 1,500 · Yes | $34k | −$88k |
| Tokor | ↓ 1,750 · Yes | $33k | +$6k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.