The favourite on Polymarket is Spread -5.5 at 52%, followed by Spread -6.5 at 48% and O/U 51.5 at 43%.
Spread -7.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 42% (−8.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 52% | −3.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $8k |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% | −3.0 pts | −2.5 pts | $28k |
| O/U 51.5 | 43% | 0.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $6k |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% | −1.5 pts | −8.5 pts | $7k |
| Yes | 34% | +2.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $30k |
A price of 34% means traders pay $0.34 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoi | Yes · Yes | $8k | +$220 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -7.5 · Yes | $4k | −$111 |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes · No | $3k | +$3k |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Spread -6.5 · No | $3k | +$321 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -7.5 · No | $3k | +$1k |
| nigiri99 | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $2k | −$47 |
| hi774c | Yes · No | $2k | +$2k |
| Trotz.85 | Yes · No | $2k | +$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.