The favourite on Polymarket is None before 2027 at 57%, followed by Netanyahu - Israel PM at 26% and Sánchez - Spanish PM at 6%.
Netanyahu - Israel PM moved the most this week: 10% to 26% (+15.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None before 2027 | 57% | −2.0 pts | −5.0 pts | $37k |
| Netanyahu - Israel PM | 26% | +1.0 pts | +15.5 pts | $28k |
| Sánchez - Spanish PM | 6% | −2.1 pts | −5.1 pts | $12k |
| Abbas - President of Palestine | 1% | −0.2 pts | +0.4 pts | $12k |
| Díaz-Canel - Cuba President | 1% | +0.1 pts | +0.5 pts | $17k |
A price of 57% means traders pay $0.57 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | None before 2027 · No | $27k | −$27k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Netanyahu - Israel PM · No | $12k | −$12k |
| buoys | None before 2027 · Yes | $9k | +$3k |
| anoin123 | None before 2027 · Yes | $5k | +$17 |
| flawfence | None before 2027 · No | $5k | −$32 |
| buoys | Netanyahu - Israel PM · Yes | $5k | +$141 |
| 0x1ff3…eb39 | None before 2027 · Yes | $3k | +$859 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Sánchez - Spanish PM · No | $3k | −$3k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.