The favourite on Polymarket is $160 at 89%, followed by $190 at 45% and $200 at 33%.
$160 moved the most this week: 52% to 89% (+37.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $160 | 89% | +5.0 pts | +37.5 pts | $3k |
| $190 | 45% | −4.5 pts | −5.0 pts | $8k |
| $200 | 33% | −2.5 pts | −17.0 pts | $22k |
| $210 | 20% | −4.5 pts | −29.5 pts | $30k |
| $220 | 14% | −2.0 pts | −36.0 pts | $6k |
A price of 20% means traders pay $0.20 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| superstonksbro | $200 · No | $5k | +$6k |
| CamelUp | $210 · No | $4k | +$14k |
| CamelUp | $200 · Yes | $2k | +$154 |
| superstonksbro | $210 · Yes | $2k | +$188 |
| grasstoucher69 | $200 · Yes | $1k | +$136 |
| grasstoucher69 | $210 · Yes | $1k | +$137 |
| superstonksbro | $190 · No | $1k | +$502 |
| grasstoucher69 | $160 · Yes | $1k | +$144 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.