Finance · Iran
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by …
The favourite on Polymarket is December 31 at 32%, followed by November 30 at 16%.
December 31 moved the most this week: 58% to 32% (−26.0 pts).
Chances now
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|
| December 31 | 32% | −1.5 pts | −26.0 pts | $50k |
| November 30 | 16% | −2.0 pts | −17.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 32% means traders pay $0.32 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Key facts
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
- Category: Finance · Iran
- Closes or resolves around January 1, 2027
- Traded on Polymarket: $40 in the past 24 hours, $50k in 7 days, $50k in 30 days
- Open interest across the outcomes shown: $42k
Largest public holders
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|
| tr1000 | November 30 · No | $775 | +$3k |
| paddaa | November 30 · Yes | $584 | −$245 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.