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Geopolitics · Israel & Gaza

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The favourite on Polymarket is Yashar at 78%, followed by Together at 74% and Ra'am at 31%.

Together moved the most this week: 42% to 74% (+32.5 pts).

Open on the mapSee it on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
Yashar78%+7.5 pts+31.5 pts$5k
Together74%+3.0 pts+32.5 pts$8k
Ra'am31%−3.5 pts+6.0 pts$8k
Likud20%−0.5 pts−8.0 pts$8k
RZP-Zehut19%−3.5 pts−2.0 pts$6k

A price of 74% means traders pay $0.74 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
0x25db…28deYashar · Yes$785+$87
0x1ff3…eb39Ra'am · No$725+$953
LJa7io23MCv954jRa'am · Yes$584+$231
paddaaLikud · No$583+$1k
paddaaRZP-Zehut · No$330+$866
TrueDignityRZP-Zehut · No$329+$725
LJa7io23MCv954jLikud · No$270+$589

Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.