The favourite on Polymarket is March 31, 2027 at 26%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 14% and November 30, 2026 at 4%.
November 30, 2026 moved the most this week: 24% to 4% (−20.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 26% | −2.0 pts | −18.5 pts | $41k |
| December 31, 2026 | 14% | 0.0 pts | −15.0 pts | $35k |
| November 30, 2026 | 4% | 0.0 pts | −20.0 pts | $30k |
| November 15, 2026 | 2% | −0.2 pts | −18.1 pts | $35k |
A price of 26% means traders pay $0.27 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| paddaa | March 31, 2027 · No | $3k | +$6k |
| dogerfad | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $2k | −$58 |
| truthteller | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $1k | +$18 |
| Lolakis | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $812 | −$162 |
| buoys | March 31, 2027 · No | $797 | +$1k |
| StarMaster | March 31, 2027 · No | $795 | +$1k |
| 0xe234…304a | March 31, 2027 · No | $795 | +$1k |
| HerrieDavis | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $752 | +$71 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.