The favourite on Polymarket is 175-179 at 78%, followed by 170-174 at 20%.
175-179 moved the most this week: 8% to 78% (+69.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175-179 | 78% | +17.4 pts | +69.4 pts | $14k |
| 170-174 | 20% | −15.3 pts | +14.2 pts | $21k |
A price of 20% means traders pay $0.20 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 175-179 · No | $7k | −$7k |
| seal7 | 175-179 · Yes | $3k | +$324 |
| AzariahJuby | 170-174 · Yes | $3k | −$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 170-174 · No | $2k | −$2k |
| EdgePunta | 175-179 · Yes | $1k | +$118 |
| 0x8200…df37 | 175-179 · Yes | $722 | +$16 |
| buoys | 175-179 · Yes | $676 | +$253 |
| ponydsb | 170-174 · No | $643 | +$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.