The favourite on Polymarket is 6°C at 38%, followed by 7°C at 22% and 5°C at 19%.
3°C moved the most this week: 30% to 2% (−27.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6°C | 38% | +13.5 pts | +8.5 pts | $2k |
| 7°C | 22% | −7.5 pts | −7.5 pts | $3k |
| 5°C | 19% | −2.5 pts | −11.0 pts | $2k |
| 4°C | 8% | −21.5 pts | −21.5 pts | $2k |
| 3°C | 2% | −27.1 pts | −27.1 pts | $1k |
A price of 22% means traders pay $0.23 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 6°C · No | $332 | −$332 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 7°C · No | $194 | −$194 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 5°C · No | $164 | −$164 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 4°C · No | $69 | −$69 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 3°C · No | $20 | −$20 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.