The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 66%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 55% and December 31, 2026 at 42%.
December 31, 2026 moved the most this week: 15% to 42% (+26.8 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 66% | +8.5 pts | −1.0 pts | $10k |
| March 31, 2027 | 55% | +1.5 pts | +10.0 pts | $22k |
| December 31, 2026 | 42% | +10.4 pts | +26.8 pts | $109k |
A price of 42% means traders pay $0.42 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $10k | +$3k |
| eNakeVets | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $9k | +$4k |
| Rattlehead | December 31, 2026 · No | $8k | +$6k |
| lug | December 31, 2026 · No | $4k | +$3k |
| 0xad96…d498 | December 31, 2026 · No | $4k | +$3k |
| Vanquish | December 31, 2026 · No | $4k | +$3k |
| anoin123 | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $3k | +$1k |
| ImJustKen | December 31, 2026 · No | $3k | +$3k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.