The favourite on Polymarket is 84-85°F at 50%, followed by 86-87°F at 46% and 82-83°F at 3%.
82-83°F moved the most this week: 32% to 3% (−28.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-85°F | 50% | +6.5 pts | +20.0 pts | $2k |
| 86-87°F | 46% | +17.5 pts | +16.5 pts | $2k |
| 82-83°F | 3% | −8.3 pts | −28.3 pts | $944 |
| 88-89°F | 2% | −27.6 pts | −27.6 pts | $1k |
A price of 46% means traders pay $0.47 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 82-83°F · No | $25 | −$25 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 88-89°F · No | $15 | −$15 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.