The favourite on Polymarket is ↑$1.5T at 75%, followed by ↑$1.75T at 51% and ↑$2.0T at 32%.
↑$2.0T moved the most this week: 70% to 32% (−38.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑$1.5T | 75% | −5.0 pts | −19.2 pts | $42k |
| ↑$1.75T | 51% | −6.5 pts | −33.5 pts | $45k |
| ↑$2.0T | 32% | −2.0 pts | −38.0 pts | $51k |
| ↑$3.0T | 8% | 0.0 pts | −14.0 pts | $135k |
| ↑$4.0T | 3% | +1.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $41k |
A price of 8% means traders pay $0.07 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| uma003 | ↑$1.75T · No | $131k | −$22k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | ↑$1.75T · Yes | $59k | −$22k |
| oieshfn345 | ↑$1.75T · Yes | $53k | −$14k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | ↑$1.5T · Yes | $43k | −$3k |
| occasionalAwareness | ↑$1.75T · Yes | $23k | +$3k |
| occasionalAwareness | ↑$2.0T · Yes | $18k | −$3k |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul | ↑$2.0T · Yes | $18k | −$20k |
| uma003 | ↑$2.0T · No | $18k | +$14k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.