The favourite on Polymarket is Spread -7.5 at 52%, followed by Spread -8.5 at 50% and Spread -9.5 at 48%.
Spread -8.5 moved the most this week: 66% to 50% (−16.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -7.5 | 52% | −2.5 pts | −15.5 pts | $11k |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% | −1.0 pts | −16.5 pts | $8k |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% | −1.0 pts | −14.5 pts | $5k |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% | −1.5 pts | −11.5 pts | $3k |
| Yes | 22% | −1.0 pts | +6.5 pts | $55k |
A price of 22% means traders pay $0.21 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| EdZachary | Yes · Yes | $3k | +$658 |
| Trotz.85 | Spread -7.5 · Yes | $3k | −$59 |
| Herdonia | Spread -8.5 · No | $3k | −$27 |
| Gaditima | Yes · Yes | $3k | +$555 |
| darkumbreon88 | Yes · No | $3k | +$7k |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -8.5 · Yes | $2k | −$112 |
| 6512395314597884 | Yes · No | $1k | +$3k |
| IGBGMN | Yes · No | $1k | +$3k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.