The favourite on Polymarket is $1.50–$1.75T at 46%, followed by $1.25–$1.50T at 27% and <$1.25T at 13%.
$1.25–$1.50T moved the most this week: 4% to 27% (+23.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.50–$1.75T | 46% | +12.5 pts | −15.5 pts | $18k |
| $1.25–$1.50T | 27% | −3.2 pts | +23.6 pts | $7k |
| <$1.25T | 13% | +6.0 pts | +12.6 pts | $3k |
| $1.75–$2.00T | 10% | 0.0 pts | −17.0 pts | $17k |
| $2.00–$2.25T | 3% | −0.7 pts | −2.9 pts | $3k |
A price of 46% means traders pay $0.46 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.50–$1.75T · No | $5k | −$5k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.25–$1.50T · No | $3k | −$3k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$1.25T · No | $1k | −$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.75–$2.00T · No | $1k | −$1k |
| iHaveBeenPwned | $1.50–$1.75T · Yes | $978 | −$348 |
| Pump | $1.50–$1.75T · Yes | $965 | −$169 |
| KimchiCapital | $1.50–$1.75T · Yes | $754 | +$200 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $2.00–$2.25T · No | $274 | −$274 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.