The favourite on Polymarket is Centre Party (C) at 78%, followed by Christian Democrats (KD) at 48% and Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 47%.
Liberals (L) moved the most this week: 14% to 44% (+30.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centre Party (C) | 78% | +25.0 pts | +24.5 pts | $6k |
| Christian Democrats (KD) | 48% | −7.0 pts | +30.0 pts | $5k |
| Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) | 47% | +13.1 pts | −23.3 pts | $13k |
| Liberals (L) | 44% | −7.0 pts | +30.5 pts | $6k |
| Sweden Democrats (SD) | 4% | −0.5 pts | −5.9 pts | $9k |
A price of 47% means traders pay $0.47 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| vinii | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · No | $2k | −$2k |
| Dreamwire | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Yes | $1k | −$397 |
| paddapadda | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Yes | $1k | −$1k |
| Eire | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · Yes | $1k | −$964 |
| 0x539c…2376 | Centre Party (C) · Yes | $1k | +$123 |
| OllonPiercing | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · No | $920 | −$686 |
| 0xf0df…69c5 | Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) · No | $802 | −$299 |
| 0x6519…611b | Christian Democrats (KD) · No | $744 | +$543 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.