The favourite on Polymarket is O/U 1.5 at 80%, followed by O/U 2.5 at 46% and O/U 3.5 at 20%.
O/U 4.5 moved the most this week: 47% to 6% (−40.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 80% | +1.0 pts | +28.5 pts | $4k |
| O/U 2.5 | 46% | −9.5 pts | −8.0 pts | $30k |
| O/U 3.5 | 20% | −12.0 pts | −33.0 pts | $2k |
| O/U 4.5 | 6% | −9.5 pts | −40.5 pts | $2k |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% | −5.4 pts | −14.9 pts | $2k |
A price of 46% means traders pay $0.46 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | O/U 2.5 · Yes | $12k | −$2k |
| 0x9f15…bdb3 | O/U 2.5 · No | $3k | +$94 |
| RN1 | O/U 1.5 · Yes | $2k | +$72 |
| us391 | O/U 2.5 · No | $2k | +$95 |
| LightParadox | O/U 2.5 · No | $1k | +$62 |
| xiaoao98 | O/U 2.5 · No | $910 | +$30 |
| 0xheavy888 | O/U 2.5 · No | $476 | +$19 |
| CAcap | O/U 2.5 · No | $470 | +$19 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.