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Geopolitics · Russia–Ukraine

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

The favourite on Polymarket is Druzkhivka at 19%, followed by Kramatorsk at 4% and Kherson at 3%.

Druzkhivka moved the most this week: 24% to 19% (−5.5 pts).

Open on the mapSee it on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
Druzkhivka19%−2.0 pts−5.5 pts$112k
Kramatorsk4%0.0 pts−4.0 pts$1k
Kherson3%−0.2 pts−1.8 pts$2k
Sumy2%−0.1 pts−1.1 pts$979
Kharkiv1%0.0 pts−0.2 pts$16

A price of 19% means traders pay $0.19 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
viktorurolog16Druzkhivka · No$4k+$10k
VytautasBaltusDruzkhivka · Yes$3k−$2k
DonkoloDruzkhivka · Yes$3k−$3k
macangaDruzkhivka · Yes$3k−$2k
RexferDruzkhivka · Yes$1k−$819
SadBenuaDruzkhivka · Yes$1k−$1k
DumplingBMFDruzkhivka · No$1k+$3k
MobilcDruzkhivka · Yes$1k−$1k

Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.