The favourite on Polymarket is 74,000-76,000 at 67%, followed by 76,000-78,000 at 32%.
74,000-76,000 moved the most this week: 16% to 67% (+51.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000-76,000 | 67% | +30.7 pts | +51.3 pts | $9k |
| 76,000-78,000 | 32% | −6.5 pts | +13.5 pts | $6k |
A price of 67% means traders pay $0.67 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 74,000-76,000 · No | $2k | −$2k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 76,000-78,000 · No | $1k | −$1k |
| averagerandomman | 74,000-76,000 · Yes | $743 | +$634 |
| e46m3 | 74,000-76,000 · Yes | $681 | +$588 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.