The favourite on Polymarket is Spread -13.5 at 54%, followed by O/U 39.5 at 50% and Spread -14.5 at 48%.
Spread -16.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 44% (−5.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -13.5 | 54% | +1.5 pts | +4.0 pts | $56k |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% | −0.5 pts | +0.5 pts | $12k |
| Spread -14.5 | 48% | +2.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $21k |
| Spread -16.5 | 44% | −0.5 pts | −5.5 pts | $8k |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 44% | −0.5 pts | −5.5 pts | $522 |
A price of 54% means traders pay $0.54 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeedTheBigBird | Spread -13.5 · Yes | $21k | −$474 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -13.5 · No | $14k | −$2k |
| imjustkenisghey | Spread -13.5 · No | $7k | −$1k |
| 0x16bb…8492 | O/U 39.5 · Yes | $6k | −$144 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | O/U 39.5 · No | $5k | −$158 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -14.5 · Yes | $5k | +$174 |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7 | Spread -14.5 · Yes | $3k | −$82 |
| hi774c | Spread -13.5 · No | $3k | −$453 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.