The favourite on Polymarket is Spread -5.5 at 52%, followed by O/U 52.5 at 51% and Spread -6.5 at 48%.
Spread -7.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 42% (−8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 52% | −2.5 pts | +1.5 pts | $18k |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% | +1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $11k |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $34k |
| Spread -7.5 | 42% | −1.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $6k |
| Yes | 32% | 0.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $17k |
A price of 48% means traders pay $0.48 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multicoloured-Serf | Spread -6.5 · No | $10k | +$534 |
| 0x418d…88a3 | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $10k | −$248 |
| nigiri99 | O/U 52.5 · No | $4k | −$21 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $4k | −$85 |
| Trotz.85 | Spread -5.5 · Yes | $3k | −$83 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Spread -5.5 · Yes | $3k | −$70 |
| HomeRunHazard | O/U 52.5 · Yes | $3k | +$57 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -6.5 · No | $3k | +$225 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.