The favourite on Polymarket is Avengers: Doomsday at 74%, followed by Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 26%.
Avengers: Doomsday moved the most this week: 52% to 74% (+22.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 74% | +1.0 pts | +22.0 pts | $34k |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 26% | −0.5 pts | −18.5 pts | $18k |
A price of 74% means traders pay $0.74 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $37k | −$37k |
| New.Jeans | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $27k | +$6k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $13k | −$13k |
| aenews2 | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $6k | +$2k |
| Red781RuM | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $6k | +$1k |
| Investnow | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $5k | −$2k |
| ImJustKen | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $5k | −$2k |
| arbandy | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $5k | −$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.