The favourite on Polymarket is Nicolás Maduro at 92%, followed by Delcy Rodríguez at 8%.
Nicolás Maduro moved the most this week: 84% to 92% (+7.7 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Maduro | 92% | 0.0 pts | +7.7 pts | $108k |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 8% | 0.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $61k |
A price of 92% means traders pay $0.92 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Nicolás Maduro · No | $358k | −$358k |
| Contestable-Parfait | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $104k | +$14k |
| pkz | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $32k | +$24k |
| denizz | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $31k | +$14k |
| ImJustKen | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $30k | +$28k |
| pIebe | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $30k | +$11k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Delcy Rodríguez · No | $29k | −$29k |
| Odysseus7 | Nicolás Maduro · Yes | $24k | +$15k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.