The favourite on Polymarket is ↓ 2,200 at 44%, followed by ↓ 2,100 at 6% and ↑ 2,400 at 3%.
↓ 2,100 moved the most this week: 25% to 6% (−19.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 2,200 | 44% | −18.5 pts | −10.0 pts | $73k |
| ↓ 2,100 | 6% | −9.0 pts | −19.4 pts | $71k |
| ↑ 2,400 | 3% | −5.1 pts | −19.1 pts | $60k |
| ↓ 2,000 | 2% | −3.1 pts | −8.4 pts | $56k |
| ↑ 2,500 | 1% | 0.0 pts | −18.1 pts | $114k |
A price of 1% means traders pay $0.01 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| getbipped | ↓ 2,200 · No | $12k | +$6k |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $8k | +$6k |
| cccyun | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $8k | −$2k |
| grasstoucher69 | ↓ 2,200 · Yes | $2k | −$419 |
| Tokor | ↓ 2,200 · No | $2k | +$470 |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 2,100 · Yes | $1k | −$2k |
| 0x9e2d…b311 | ↓ 2,200 · No | $1k | −$199 |
| 196874353278 | ↓ 2,200 · No | $1k | −$17 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.