The favourite on Polymarket is Below 5.25% at 91%, followed by Below 5.20% at 78% and Below 5.15% at 60%.
Below 5.20% moved the most this week: 62% to 78% (+16.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 5.25% | 91% | −2.5 pts | +8.5 pts | $4k |
| Below 5.20% | 78% | −5.0 pts | +16.5 pts | $2k |
| Below 5.15% | 60% | +0.5 pts | +10.0 pts | $3k |
| Below 5.10% | 41% | −5.0 pts | +5.0 pts | $2k |
| Below 5.05% | 34% | −5.5 pts | +4.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 91% means traders pay $0.91 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| nj23adsknml3 | Below 5.05% · Yes | $877 | +$163 |
| HDGB | Below 5.20% · Yes | $807 | +$400 |
| cigarettes | Below 5.20% · Yes | $791 | +$388 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Below 5.15% · Yes | $661 | +$164 |
| Started-with-20-USD | Below 5.25% · Yes | $544 | +$9 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Below 5.25% · Yes | $523 | +$22 |
| SuperTests | Below 5.15% · Yes | $515 | +$156 |
| commeowder | Below 5.05% · No | $432 | +$705 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.