The favourite on Polymarket is April 30, 2027 at 42%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 36% and January 31, 2027 at 24%.
November 30 moved the most this week: 8% to 4% (−3.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30, 2027 | 42% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $66k |
| March 31, 2027 | 36% | 0.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $30k |
| January 31, 2027 | 24% | 0.0 pts | +0.5 pts | $39k |
| December 31 | 14% | −2.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $167k |
| November 30 | 4% | 0.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $47k |
A price of 14% means traders pay $0.14 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| alwaysOn | March 31, 2027 · No | $5k | +$5k |
| Car | March 31, 2027 · Yes | $5k | +$434 |
| 0xb886…81b3 | December 31 · Yes | $4k | −$8k |
| BigBusinessPro | December 31 · No | $3k | +$15k |
| BMM-1 | December 31 · No | $3k | +$16k |
| smellyEllie | December 31 · Yes | $3k | −$1k |
| Car | January 31, 2027 · Yes | $3k | +$152 |
| BigBoiBettin | December 31 · Yes | $3k | −$5k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.