Traders on Polymarket see a 33% chance for “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7”, down 32.1 points over the past week.
Over the past week the chance moved from 65% to 33% (−32.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33% | −19.9 pts | −32.1 pts | $107k |
A price of 33% means traders pay $0.33 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| VigorishVault | Yes | $8k | −$5k |
| easyclap | No | $6k | +$4k |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | $578 | −$665 |
| robo-frog | No | $287 | +$128 |
| gobblewobble | No | $245 | +$106 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.