The favourite on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 56%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 12%.
December 31, 2026 moved the most this week: 14% to 12% (−2.8 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 56% | +0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $9k |
| December 31, 2026 | 12% | −0.7 pts | −2.8 pts | $22k |
A price of 12% means traders pay $0.12 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaI | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $6k | +$60 |
| 0x4dF63E746b71d3a8e | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $4k | −$7k |
| WordleAddict | December 31, 2026 · No | $4k | +$21k |
| Dragontree | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $3k | −$640 |
| WorkingIsBad | December 31, 2027 · No | $3k | −$1k |
| groth | December 31, 2027 · No | $3k | −$1k |
| enrico-vasaio | December 31, 2027 · No | $3k | −$1k |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $2k | +$63 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.