The favourite on Polymarket is ↓ 72,500 at 58%, followed by ↓ 65,000 at 17% and ↓ 60,000 at 8%.
↓ 72,500 moved the most this week: 48% to 58% (+10.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 72,500 | 58% | −3.0 pts | +10.0 pts | $204k |
| ↓ 65,000 | 17% | −3.5 pts | +5.5 pts | $175k |
| ↓ 60,000 | 8% | −1.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $199k |
| ↓ 57,500 | 4% | −1.2 pts | +0.6 pts | $365k |
| ↑ 100,000 | 1% | −0.4 pts | −2.2 pts | $184k |
A price of 4% means traders pay $0.04 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| woshiLimpeh | ↓ 72,500 · No | $12k | −$2k |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 72,500 · Yes | $12k | +$2k |
| bitterfish | ↓ 72,500 · No | $11k | −$766 |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 65,000 · Yes | $11k | +$865 |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 57,500 · Yes | $9k | −$605 |
| hqb.prediction | ↓ 60,000 · Yes | $8k | −$444 |
| HandsomeLi | ↓ 57,500 · No | $7k | +$145k |
| 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 72,500 · Yes | $4k | −$272 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.