The favourite on Polymarket is November 2026 at 77%, followed by December 2026 at 13% and January 2027 at 3%.
December 2026 moved the most this week: 10% to 13% (+2.8 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 77% | +22.2 pts | +0.4 pts | $23k |
| December 2026 | 13% | −4.3 pts | +2.8 pts | $11k |
| January 2027 | 3% | −8.1 pts | +1.1 pts | $3k |
| No IPO before 2028 | 2% | −1.7 pts | +0.8 pts | $5k |
| February 2027 | 1% | −0.6 pts | +0.8 pts | $750 |
A price of 77% means traders pay $0.77 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November 2026 · No | $11k | −$11k |
| balthazar | November 2026 · Yes | $7k | +$1k |
| DancewithRisk | November 2026 · Yes | $3k | +$876 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | December 2026 · No | $2k | −$2k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | November 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$269 |
| jyPoz | November 2026 · Yes | $1k | +$247 |
| balthazar | December 2026 · Yes | $841 | −$13 |
| rewardbots | December 2026 · Yes | $767 | +$72 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.