The favourite on Polymarket is ↑6k at 94%, followed by ↑6.5k at 91% and ↑7k at 74%.
↑7k moved the most this week: 38% to 74% (+36.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑6k | 94% | +8.5 pts | +5.5 pts | $2k |
| ↑6.5k | 91% | +14.0 pts | +23.5 pts | $68k |
| ↑7k | 74% | +32.0 pts | +36.5 pts | $3k |
| ↑7.5k | 31% | +8.0 pts | +11.5 pts | $9k |
| ↑10k | 4% | −0.6 pts | −3.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 91% means traders pay $0.91 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1aac…66fb | ↑7.5k · Yes | $1k | +$678 |
| 0x1aac…66fb | ↑6k · Yes | $1k | +$542 |
| Y4n4pol | ↑6.5k · Yes | $917 | +$271 |
| Hakei. | ↑7.5k · No | $784 | +$1k |
| sabsabinxz | ↑6.5k · Yes | $737 | +$162 |
| RobClive | ↑7.5k · Yes | $724 | +$274 |
| gmeowcl | ↑7.5k · No | $711 | +$1k |
| Y4n4pol | ↑6k · Yes | $690 | +$124 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.