The favourite on Polymarket is December 31, 2028 at 30%, followed by December 31, 2027 at 17% and June 30, 2027 at 11%.
December 31, 2028 moved the most this week: 34% to 30% (−4.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2028 | 30% | 0.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $12k |
| December 31, 2027 | 17% | −1.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $2k |
| June 30, 2027 | 11% | 0.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $937 |
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 30% means traders pay $0.30 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8f69…2923 | December 31, 2028 · Yes | $4k | +$2k |
| Tenebrus7 | December 31, 2028 · No | $4k | +$6k |
| 0x49F206 | December 31, 2028 · No | $3k | +$5k |
| 101456 | December 31, 2028 · Yes | $3k | +$2k |
| Car | December 31, 2028 · No | $2k | +$2k |
| HerrieDavis | December 31, 2028 · Yes | $1k | +$459 |
| yen4u | December 31, 2028 · No | $981 | +$1k |
| Car | December 31, 2027 · Yes | $850 | +$150 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.