The favourite on Polymarket is Avengers: Doomsday at 74%, followed by Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 24%.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day moved the most this week: 45% to 24% (−21.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 74% | +4.0 pts | +20.5 pts | $55k |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 24% | −5.5 pts | −21.0 pts | $19k |
A price of 74% means traders pay $0.73 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $76k | −$76k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $25k | −$25k |
| New.Jeans | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $22k | +$3k |
| eCash | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $14k | −$6k |
| 0x5e39…352c | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $13k | +$1k |
| GvLBV | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $12k | +$2k |
| Red781RuM | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $11k | +$1k |
| schizohedgehog | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $11k | −$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.