The favourite on Polymarket is <$1T at 28%, followed by $1.25T–$1.5T at 21% and $1.5T–$1.75T at 18%.
<$1T moved the most this week: 20% to 28% (+8.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1T | 28% | −0.2 pts | +8.2 pts | $0 |
| $1.25T–$1.5T | 21% | +1.3 pts | −0.5 pts | $11k |
| $1.5T–$1.75T | 18% | +0.6 pts | +1.1 pts | $8k |
| $1.75T–$2.0T | 14% | −0.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $317 |
| $1.0T–$1.25T | 10% | +0.5 pts | +5.1 pts | $17k |
A price of 10% means traders pay $0.10 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff7c…b233 | <$1T · Yes | $2k | +$786 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$1T · No | $2k | −$2k |
| DancewithRisk | $1.25T–$1.5T · Yes | $2k | +$231 |
| yoyobb2018 | <$1T · No | $2k | +$3k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.25T–$1.5T · No | $1k | −$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.5T–$1.75T · No | $1k | −$1k |
| DancewithRisk | $1.75T–$2.0T · Yes | $1k | −$197 |
| DancewithRisk | $1.5T–$1.75T · Yes | $1k | +$39 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.