As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Match Winner at 76%, Map 2 Winner at 69% and Map 1 Winner at 64%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Map 2 Winner moved the most this week: 52% to 69% (+16.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Winner | 76% | +8.0 pts | +10.0 pts | $91k |
| Map 2 Winner | 69% | −8.5 pts | +16.5 pts | $141 |
| Map 1 Winner | 64% | +4.0 pts | +16.0 pts | $24k |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 47% | +6.5 pts | +10.5 pts | $70k |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 42% | −1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 76% means traders pay about $0.76 for a “Match Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| JabJabich | Match Winner · Yes | $23k | +$2k |
| relativesignificance | Match Winner · Yes | $15k | +$656 |
| lllllllIlll | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) · Yes | $12k | −$773 |
| Gooooooollllllllll | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) · No | $8k | −$900 |
| lllllllIlll | Map 1 Winner · Yes | $6k | −$360 |
| JabJabich | Map 1 Winner · Yes | $6k | −$312 |
| lllllllIlll | Match Winner · Yes | $6k | −$143 |
| lma0o0o0o | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) · Yes | $5k | +$525 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.