The deadline passed on 8 November 2026. The market is waiting for the official result, so prices may still move before it settles. How markets resolve.
As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Aston Villa FC at 90%, followed by Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC) at 8% and Manchester United FC at 1%.
Aston Villa FC moved the most this week: 32% to 90% (+58.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa FC | 90% | +60.0 pts | +58.0 pts | $848k |
| Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC) | 8% | −17.0 pts | −17.0 pts | $161k |
| Manchester United FC | 1% | −43.3 pts | −40.8 pts | $3.1M |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “Aston Villa FC” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Manchester United FC · No | $939k | +$455k |
| Jsram | Manchester United FC · No | $248k | +$114k |
| 0F62 | Manchester United FC · No | $198k | +$4k |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Manchester United FC · No | $170k | +$81k |
| Siddhartha1 | Manchester United FC · No | $128k | +$60k |
| yabanci | Manchester United FC · No | $109k | +$53k |
| ipop00 | Manchester United FC · No | $88k | +$43k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Manchester United FC · No | $66k | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.