As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Chovy at 24%, followed by Kiin at 18% and Canyon at 15%.
Kiin moved the most this week: 7% to 18% (+10.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chovy | 24% | +4.0 pts | +7.5 pts | $12k |
| Kiin | 18% | +2.3 pts | +10.5 pts | $4k |
| Canyon | 15% | +7.4 pts | +4.8 pts | $6k |
| Ruler | 12% | +1.2 pts | −0.4 pts | $4k |
| Knight | 9% | −4.3 pts | +1.2 pts | $17k |
A price of 24% means traders pay about $0.24 for a “Chovy” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperlong | Knight · No | $4k | +$2 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Knight · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ruler · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Canyon · No | $2k | – |
| Anjun | Chovy · No | $2k | −$327 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kiin · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Chovy · No | $2k | – |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Canyon · No | $1k | −$36 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.