As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is The Weeknd at 86%, followed by Rihanna at 19%.
The Weeknd moved the most this week: 40% to 86% (+45.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Weeknd | 86% | +14.0 pts | +45.5 pts | $14k |
| Rihanna | 19% | −8.5 pts | −17.0 pts | $16k |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a “The Weeknd” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| shovelingdigging | The Weeknd · Yes | $3k | +$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Rihanna · No | $3k | – |
| buoys | The Weeknd · Yes | $2k | +$1k |
| pupka-zalupka | Rihanna · Yes | $513 | −$378 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.