As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Morgan Wallen at 77%, followed by Kendrick Lamar at 6% and Taylor Swift at 4%.
Morgan Wallen moved the most this week: 95% to 77% (−18.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wallen | 77% | 0.0 pts | −18.4 pts | $15k |
| Kendrick Lamar | 6% | −4.0 pts | +4.8 pts | $177 |
| Taylor Swift | 4% | 0.0 pts | +1.8 pts | $0 |
| Post Malone | 3% | −0.1 pts | +0.9 pts | $0 |
A price of 77% means traders pay about $0.77 for a “Morgan Wallen” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| hfv | Morgan Wallen · Yes | $3k | −$607 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Post Malone · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Taylor Swift · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kendrick Lamar · No | $2k | – |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Morgan Wallen · Yes | $2k | −$32 |
| 0x49f2…d7b4 | Morgan Wallen · No | $1k | −$288 |
| FelicityBright | Morgan Wallen · Yes | $1k | −$194 |
| FrozenParasite | Morgan Wallen · Yes | $940 | +$65 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.