As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 150.5 at 55%, Winner at 54% and Spread -1.5 at 49%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
O/U 150.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 55% (+4.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 150.5 | 55% | +4.5 pts | +4.5 pts | $0 |
| Winner | 54% | −5.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $8k |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% | −3.5 pts | −3.5 pts | $2k |
| O/U 152.5 | 48% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $400 |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% | −2.5 pts | −2.5 pts | $200 |
A price of 55% means traders pay about $0.55 for a “O/U 150.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wittgestain888 | Winner · Yes | $3k | −$214 |
| HomeRunHazard | Winner · No | $2k | +$105 |
| 0x9674…1302 | Winner · Yes | $642 | −$34 |
| ic4cream | Spread -1.5 · No | $605 | −$11 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.