As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Winner at 86%, O/U 221.5 at 50% and Spread -12.5 at 50%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 78% to 86% (+8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | 86% | +3.0 pts | +8.0 pts | $40k |
| O/U 221.5 | 50% | −3.5 pts | −3.5 pts | $12k |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% | +3.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $7k |
| O/U 222.5 | 48% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $119k |
| O/U 223.5 | 46% | −4.5 pts | −4.5 pts | $9k |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a “Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| JoeyAroyyOO | O/U 222.5 · No | $20k | +$27 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 222.5 · No | $19k | −$648 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | O/U 222.5 · Yes | $16k | +$161 |
| nigiri99 | O/U 222.5 · No | $12k | −$299 |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | O/U 222.5 · Yes | $7k | −$375 |
| beaverfever0 | Winner · Yes | $5k | −$99 |
| nehcnehc | O/U 222.5 · Yes | $5k | −$260 |
| one8tyfive | O/U 222.5 · Yes | $3k | +$30 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.