As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Winner at 78%, Spread -8.5 at 56% and Spread -9.5 at 52%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
O/U 238.5 moved the most this week: 62% to 48% (−15.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | 78% | +1.0 pts | +10.5 pts | $45k |
| Spread -8.5 | 56% | +9.0 pts | +9.0 pts | $14k |
| Spread -9.5 | 52% | +10.0 pts | +10.0 pts | $34k |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% | +12.0 pts | +12.0 pts | $12k |
| O/U 238.5 | 48% | −15.0 pts | −15.0 pts | $45k |
A price of 78% means traders pay about $0.78 for a “Winner” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Spread -9.5 · Yes | $17k | −$575 |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | O/U 238.5 · Yes | $9k | −$300 |
| beaverfever0 | Winner · Yes | $9k | +$112 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · Yes | $9k | +$54 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Spread -9.5 · No | $8k | +$86 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 238.5 · No | $7k | +$37 |
| HomeRunHazard | O/U 238.5 · No | $5k | +$90 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Spread -10.5 · No | $5k | −$75 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.