As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Spread -11.5 at 52%, O/U 222.5 at 48% and O/U 223.5 at 46%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Winner moved the most this week: 22% to 16% (−7.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -11.5 | 52% | +2.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $46k |
| O/U 222.5 | 48% | −1.5 pts | −1.5 pts | $5k |
| O/U 223.5 | 46% | −5.5 pts | −5.5 pts | $11k |
| O/U 224.5 | 44% | −6.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $2k |
| Winner | 16% | −5.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $40k |
A price of 52% means traders pay about $0.52 for a “Spread -11.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Spread -11.5 · Yes | $11k | +$454 |
| sharpnochase | Winner · No | $8k | −$38 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Spread -11.5 · No | $7k | −$538 |
| nehcnehc | Spread -11.5 · No | $4k | −$504 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · No | $4k | +$9 |
| nehcnehc | O/U 223.5 · No | $3k | +$218 |
| Forecastication2 | Spread -11.5 · Yes | $3k | +$62 |
| ThanosTheMadTitan | Winner · No | $2k | −$5 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.