As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Spread -3.5 at 72%, Spread -9.5 at 50% and O/U 52.5 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Spread -10.5 moved the most this week: 18% to 2% (−16.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | 72% | −2.0 pts | +13.0 pts | $51k |
| Spread -9.5 | 50% | −1.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $149k |
| O/U 52.5 | 48% | +1.0 pts | −8.5 pts | $36k |
| Winner | 20% | 0.0 pts | +3.5 pts | $119k |
| Spread -10.5 | 2% | −1.2 pts | −16.2 pts | $14k |
A price of 72% means traders pay about $0.72 for a “Spread -3.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x16bb…8492 | Spread -9.5 · Yes | $60k | −$2k |
| primm | Winner · No | $40k | −$490 |
| bands1 | Spread -9.5 · No | $30k | +$795 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Winner · No | $28k | −$345 |
| 0x2c33…0563 | Spread -9.5 · No | $17k | −$81 |
| 0F62 | Spread -10.5 · No | $14k | $0 |
| 0x3dfb…abaf | O/U 52.5 · No | $13k | −$220 |
| darkumbreon88 | Winner · No | $9k | −$60 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.