As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 4.5 at 77%, O/U 5.5 at 52% and Winner at 42%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
O/U 6.5 moved the most this week: 46% to 41% (−5.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 77% | −4.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $3k |
| O/U 5.5 | 52% | −6.5 pts | −5.0 pts | $3k |
| Winner | 42% | −3.5 pts | 0.0 pts | $78k |
| O/U 6.5 | 41% | −6.0 pts | −5.5 pts | $11k |
| O/U 7.5 | 22% | −6.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $3k |
A price of 77% means traders pay about $0.77 for a “O/U 4.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| taylorsversion | Winner · No | $40k | +$339 |
| Dessssa | Winner · Yes | $30k | −$1k |
| arlanta | Winner · No | $20k | −$160 |
| 0xf62b…844a | Winner · No | $13k | −$27 |
| AnonymousUsername | Winner · Yes | $7k | −$155 |
| charlie5492 | O/U 6.5 · No | $6k | +$499 |
| 0xec98…afcd | Winner · Yes | $5k | −$59 |
| VeryLucky888 | Winner · Yes | $4k | −$108 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.